Threat Intelligence
CVE Exploitation Threat Matrix
Distilling underground actor chatter and open-source visibility into a clear likelihood of exploitation score for each CVE observed in the criminal ecosystem.
Prioritize patching based on real-world threat activity — not just severity scores
Understand which vulnerabilities are gaining traction among adversaries
Frame CVE chatter as part of a combined threat model — not in isolation
This matrix augments traditional CVSS and EPSS scores by incorporating adversary behavior into CVE risk assessment. Especially useful for defenders overwhelmed by volume, or trying to make sense of which vulnerabilities matter now.
How It's Built
For each CVE, we evaluate multiple intelligence dimensions
Observed Intent
What actors are saying
Selling PoC, requesting dev help, bundling into toolkits
Operational Sharing
Active distribution
Posting PoCs, bundling tools, offering scripts
Discussion Venue
Where it's discussed
Top tier forums, 1:1 discussions with adversaries, other underground sources
OSINT Confirmation
Public verification
GitHub PoCs, Exploit-DB, KEV listing, Metasploit modules
Intent Implications
Maturity assessment
Interest vs. tool-readiness vs. in-the-wild use
Likelihood Scores
Actor interest only, no working code confirmed
Tool or PoC claimed, not publicly validated
Confirmed PoC (public or underground) + actor discussion or bundling into toolkits
This scoring blends underground observation and open-source verification into a practical tool for security teams and intelligence consumers.
Why It Matters
Traditional risk scores like CVSS measure severity — not attacker interest or tool adoption.
The Problem
CVSS tells you how bad a vulnerability could be. It doesn't tell you if anyone is actually trying to exploit it.
Our Approach
We show you which vulnerabilities are actively sought out, being operationalized by actors, or have working PoCs circulating.
This matrix provides a complementary lens — bringing adversary-informed context to vulnerability management, empowering defenders to prioritize real-world threats before exploitation cascades into credential resale, lateral movement, or extortion.
See What Adversaries See
Get visibility into CVEs being discussed, traded, and weaponized in underground forums.
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